Because we put the odds of another nation-wide economic shutdown very low, we expect economic data to continue to improve in the weeks and months ahead... With this flood of new money, and an improvement in economic data, equity markets should continue to rise.
Showing how health and wealth awareness can come together for maximum wellness. What follows are the 8 key considerations involved in achieving a cohesive, inclusive plan that takes into consideration the realities of life, especially as we age.
Not Locking Down...while cases have increased, deaths from the virus have not. According to data from Worldometer, in the seven days ending Sunday, deaths averaged 596 per day nationwide, the lowest since March, and are down almost 75% from the peak in mid-April.
Turning off the global economic light-switch, and then turning it partially back on, has sent shock waves through economic data that, while anticipated, have been jaw-dropping in both directions. US retail sales plunged a combined 21.8% in March and April, before rising 17.7% in May...
In the meantime, this week's reports should show that the economy was healing before the Fed's meeting. Retail sales, industrial production, and housing starts should all be up sharply for May, and we expect a continued decline in claims for unemployment insurance, as well. We are still a long way off from being fully recovered, but the process has to start somewhere. In May, the recovery began.
The recession that started in March is the sharpest downturn since the Great Depression. As it turns out, it was also the shortest. This doesn’t mean the US is fully recovered, or even close; a full recovery is going to take at least a few years. But...
Economic news last week... continuing unemployment claims declined 3.86 million to 21.05 million... TSA says 268,867 passengers went through security on Saturday, up 39%...Motor vehicle gas supplied is up 24%... so the deepest recession since the Great Depression looks increasingly likely to be the shortest
In order to tell whether the overall economy is starting to recover, we're looking for confirmation from unemployment claims and federal tax receipts. The bad news is that new claims for unemployment insurance remain at extremely elevated levels. However, new claims are down substantially from the 6.9 million filed in the last full week of March...
Yes, the debt is a burden on future taxpayers... Right or wrong, our government - and society in general - has taken enormous measures to contain the virus to save the lives of our elderly population, and these moves have imposed enormous costs disproportionately borne by the younger generations who are out of jobs, school, and business opportunities.
S&P 3100, Dow 25,750... the world took a detour into the Coronavirus Contraction. As a result, we are adjusting our year-end 2020 target down to 3,100, with the Dow Jones Industrials average finishing at 25,750.