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Stay up to date on current financial events and commentary with our weekly blogs.

Fear the Spending, Not the Debt Thumbnail

Fear the Spending, Not the Debt

Fear the Spending, Not the Debt. None of this means US fiscal policy is in a good place; it’s just that the debt is manageable, we’re not going bankrupt. The real fiscal problem is the level of spending and the need to fix entitlements: Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and “Obamacare.” …The problem is that out of control spending gradually erodes the character of the American people. It pushes citizens toward dependence on government checks for their income, rather than their own efforts. In a democracy, we want our fellow citizens to know the value of hard work, shrewd investment, and entrepreneurship,

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We’re All Keynesians Now? Thumbnail

We’re All Keynesians Now?

We’re All Keynesians Now. Thanks to these supply-side policies, the U.S. does not face a recession. New technology is continuing to lower costs, increase profit margins, and boost earnings.

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Rorschach Economics Thumbnail

Rorschach Economics

Rorschach Economics. These tests come to mind because lately, three dominant types of economic thought seem to analyze every data point and come to conclusions that always support their particular interpretation of the US economy.

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Labor Days Thumbnail

Labor Days

Labor Day is probably the best time to take stock of the American worker and, for them, it’s rarely been better. The unemployment rate is near the lowest level since the 1960s, job growth remains robust, and wage growth is in a general accelerating trend.

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Business Uncertainty

Business Uncertainty. Analysts were very quick to pin the blame for weakness in stocks late last week on the trade war with China. We agree that uncertainty regarding the future of US-China trade relations was a drag on equities, but think it was far from the only reason for weakness. In fact, it wasn’t even the most negative news of the week.

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This is Not 2008! Thumbnail

This is Not 2008!

This is Not 2008! The threat of a recession is on the minds of investors. What these investors are ignoring is how different recent circumstances are from the environment that preceded prior recessions.

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The European Central Bank’s Crazy Negative Interest Rates! Thumbnail

The European Central Bank’s Crazy Negative Interest Rates!

The European Central Bank’s Crazy Negative Interest Rates! It’s time for Europe to recognize that neither negative interest rates nor quantitative easing has saved their economies. By using negative rates, the ECB has been trying to punish banks into lending, and it hasn’t worked. Worse, negative rates are, in effect, a tax on the financial system. As a result, they undermine bank profitability and weaken the financial system.

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The Fed is flailing Thumbnail

The Fed is flailing

The Fed is flailing. Our view remains that last week’s rate cut wasn’t needed, nor are further rate cuts in the months ahead. Nominal GDP is up 4.0% in the past year and up at a 5.0% annual rate in the past two years. Gold is up 12.3% so far this year. There are plenty of excess reserves in the banking system. The Fed is not tight.

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Solid GDP Report for Q2 Thumbnail

Solid GDP Report for Q2

Solid GDP Report for Q2…Core GDP – combining personal consumption, business investment, and home building – grew at a very solid 3.2% annual rate in Q2. Meanwhile, profit reports are widely beating expectations. The economy is much stronger than conventional wisdom thinks and has been since 2009.

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